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April 18th, 2008

The Collapse of America’s Service Economy


Recent high profile bankruptcies of mainstay American retailers, such as The Sharper Image and Linens ‘n Things, as well as the proposed mergers between Blockbuster/Circuit City and Delta/Northwest, and the admissions from the nation’s leading student lenders that their business models are no longer viable, mark the beginning of a long overdue overhaul […]

April 18th, 2008

Real US Interest Rates Hit Minus 12.55% As Inflation Explodes!


Mike Larson writes: If you’ve been following the news, you know the Federal Reserve has been cutting interest rates. The benchmark federal funds rate was 5.25% last summer. It’s all the way down to 2.25% now, and chances are the Fed will cut that rate again when it concludes its next policy meeting on April […]

April 18th, 2008

LIBOR Sends Warning Signal to the Global Financial Markets


The news that the London Interbank Offer Rate (LIBOR) system of setting interest rates is running into trouble was surprising at first glance.  It seems some banks are giving phony LIBOR quotations that don’t reflect the true rates at which they accept deposits. In the perfect financial system, beloved of regulators and academics, this kind […]

April 17th, 2008

LIBOR Rates Unreliable and Irrelevant to Derivatives Pricing


In the latest Office of the Comptroller of the Currency – Quarterly Derivatives Report [Q4/07], we learn that outstanding notionals for reporting banks declined by 8 Trillion. Furthermore, we are told that the overall decline was “driven by a 9.2 Trillion reduction in interest rate contracts – mostly swaps with maturities of less than one […]

April 16th, 2008

UK Housing Market Sentiment Hits 30 Year Low (RICS)


 The Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) report confirms that the UK housing market is in countrywide meltdown mode. House prices are falling at their fastest pace in 30 years (since records began). The net balance between those reporting price rises against price falls deteriorated to a reading of -78.5 in the three months to […]

April 16th, 2008

US Actual Inflation Trend is Deflationary


Inflationists have been crying wolf for the past three plus years despite the fact that the annualized headline CPI, including food and energy, and not seasonally adjusted, for 12M, 6M, and 3M has fluctuated around the 20-year trend of 3%+- (yes, the annualized inflation in the US for the past 20 years is 3.08%). As […]

April 16th, 2008

It is 1937 for the US Federal Reserve


This Letter is a follow on from my article The Future Actions of The Federal Reserve and US Govt are known   in which, using the work of GB Eggertsson, we showed that the Fed/US Govt is following a plan to stimulate the economy and avoid a deflationary episode. Essentially the plan is to avoid the mistakes […]

April 16th, 2008

Bank of England Prepares to Ramp Up the Money Printing Presses


Gordon Brown having bottled out of an October 2007 election ahead of an economic slump during 2008 and 2009, is now attempting to prepare the ground works for an 2009-2010 election by giving the Bank of England the green light to print as much money as is necessary to enable the UK banks to restart […]

April 16th, 2008

Protect Your Wealth from Wall Street Liars


Few seem to remember that Wall Street is not a non-profit community driven by altruism or any sense of service. They would gladly cheat you out of your entire life savings if their actions were legal, or at least not prosecuted. In the last two to three years, the lies, deception, misdirection, false […]

April 16th, 2008

Forget the Headlines, Listen to the Bond Market!


Let’s turn our attention to something that isn’t often discussed, namely bonds.
I know what some of you are saying already: “But bonds are boring!” Yes, they may well be boring in most instances. But this isn’t one of those times. Actually, the message of the bond market is one of the more exciting and optimistic […]

April 15th, 2008

Stein’s Law- Mean Reversion Results in US Wealth Contraction


This week we look at a remarkable and important essay by my friend Dr. Woody Brock who is one of my favorite “Outside the Box thinking” economists. I seriously look forward to Woody’s quarterly insights and devour them as soon as the come in.
I especially urge you to read and re-read the first few paragraphs, […]

April 15th, 2008

US Fed Responsible for the Credit Crisis


By: Dr_Ron_Paul

There has been a lot of talk in the news recently about the Federal Reserve and the actions it has taken over the past few months. Many media pundits have been bending over backwards to praise the Fed for supposedly restoring stability to the market. This interpretation of the Fed’s actions couldn’t […]

April 14th, 2008

Greenspan- He Did It His Way (Unfortunately)


Greenspan did another media tour last week, this time defending his legacy in the Financial Times , Wall Street Journal , and on CNBC Television .  Unfortunately the story from Greenspan was much the same: he reiterated that the financial markets are best left to self-regulate, and that investors around the world (not the Fed) […]

April 14th, 2008

The Problems Spread as US Recession Takes Hold


Last week, General Electric one of the finest companies in the world and an American icon, announced a major fall in earnings. Amazingly, the bad news surprised Wall Street, and GE shares fell 13 percent in a single day. Some surprise!
GE is one of the best-diversified and well managed companies on earth, and […]

April 14th, 2008

Central Banks’ in Tatters- Facts are Stubborn Things Part II


The ALADDIN’S lamp of Central Banking coming FULL Circle - If one is inclined toward general agreement with the notion that the pinnacle of power in the world is the power to create money, - then one must hastily conclude that; the government-aligned private organizations of central banking cartels, whom fund all of the worlds […]

April 12th, 2008

Interbank Market Fails to Respond to UK Interest Rate Cut


Following Thursdays UK interest rate cut to 5% from 5.25%, which followed unprecedented action by the Bank of England in providing £15 billion in liquidity to the UK banking system in recent weeks. So far the interbank market has failed to respond to these actions, which saw the 3 Month Libor rate / base rate […]

April 11th, 2008

Tumbling UK Housing Market Leading to Sterling Devaluation


Economic events in the United States often provide a sneak preview of what’s around the corner for the British economy. Both countries run large external trade deficits, and much like the US, the British economy has been expanding on little else than the availability of easy credit and asset price inflation in the housing market. […]

April 10th, 2008

UK Interest Rates to be Cut to 5% Today on Fears of Housing Recession


The Bank of England is expected to cut UK interest rates to 5% at today’s MPC meeting following a slump in UK house prices that saw a 2.5% fall in March (Halifax:SA). Interest rates were last cut in February 08 which was inline with the Market Oracle forecast as of August 07 and […]

April 8th, 2008

Japans Deflation Lesson: US Interest Rates Heading for 0%


The prospect of a US Fed 0% rate becoming a reality has been on my mind since August when the subprime made news hit. In my view, the entire mortgage bond structure would suffer massive losses in a successive of waves, beginning with subprimes, extending to primes, and concluding with commercials. How could housing distress […]

April 8th, 2008

Did Greenspan Have to Cut US Interest Rate so Much?


In today’s Financial Times , Greenspan is generously given yet another chance to defend his legacy. Greenspan’s argument that it was not his doing that set off the U.S. housing bubble reminds me of my two perfect children. When they appeared to err, it was never their fault. Greenspan’s main defense lies on […]

April 8th, 2008

UK House Prices Fall Over the Cliff


UK house prices plunged by 2.5% in March (Halifax seasonally adjusted), the fall was far bigger than estimates and points to an acceleration in the pace of house price falls across the UK.
The credit crisis is continuing to lead to a much tighter mortgage lending environment as highlighted in December’s article. Mortgages continue to vanish […]

April 7th, 2008

US Housing Crash and the American Dream


Home ownership has long been considered “The AMERICAN DREAM” and with the recent paradigms of the “WEALTH AFFECT” and the “OWNERSHIP SOCIATY”……..(Really fraud and myths I have written about earlier on this site)…..See “Debunked Myths of 2007”.
It is estimated that 8 - 10 Million Americans owe more than their home is worth today, as the […]

April 4th, 2008

US Housing Market and Credit Crisis


 “The crisis from which we are now suffering is also the outcome of a credit expansion. The present crisis is the unavoidable sequel to a boom. Such a crisis necessarily follows every boom generated by the attempt to reduce the ‘natural rate of interest.’” - Analyst XDo you have a troubled friend or relative whose […]

April 2nd, 2008

UK Housing Mortgage Market Crunch Time


The UK housing market continues to trend lower towards the Market Oracle forecast of negative house price inflation on release of Aprils house price data in May. The Housing market was hit today by further news of withdrawal of more mortgage products that has seen the mortgage products market now shrink by 2/3rds from a […]

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