Global Housing Market Forecasts
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May 31st, 2007

UK Housing Market Boom Coming to an End


Data released by the Bank of England confirms a continuing drop on mortgage approvals as the number of loans approved for house purchases in April were 107,000, for remortgaging 98,000 and for other purposes 72,000 were all lower than in March. The numbers are all down significantly on the start of the year.
Four rate rises […]

May 30th, 2007

US home sales fall as property glut hits record high


US home sales fell in April to their lowest depths in almost four years as the glut of unsold properties swamping the market ballooned to a record high, an industry report showed Friday.
The monthly snapshot by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) dashed hopes that the ailing housing market could be on the cusp of […]

May 30th, 2007

Real Estate Bubbles and California’s Economic Growth, Video Lecture


An economics presentation at Humboldt State University. Special guest lecturer Dr. Christopher Thornberg of Beacon Economics discusses the current housing bubble and its effects on California
See Video [offsite]

May 30th, 2007

U.S. Home Construction Bust May Last Until 2011


New home construction in the U.S. may take until 2011 to return to last year’s level, said David Seiders, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders in Washington.Monthly construction starts would need to jump by 21 percent to reach Seiders’s benchmark for full recovery, which is 1.85 million. There were 1.53 million in […]

May 30th, 2007

Some see credit storm brewing


Residential foreclosures have been increasing steadily. Industry insiders say foreclosures in Connecticut through April are up 40 percent over the 2006 pace and the trend is continuing. Inventories of foreclosed homes, coupled with slow-moving real estate listings, could have a significant impact on residential values and consumer spending.
Read Article [offsite]

May 29th, 2007

US housing market deteriorates at faster pace than expected


The deterioration in the US housing market is accelerating, new figures showed yesterday, and at a faster rate than Wall Street had been expecting.
With the number of house sales in April down 2.6 per cent on the same month last year, the average selling price for homeowners who do find a buyer has started to […]

May 29th, 2007

Big drop in home prices predicted


Some economists see steeper drop in store for home prices.
Most industry watchers agree that home prices will continue to slide before they recover, but now some economists say they’ve got a long way to fall before bouncing back.
David Wyss, chief economist at Standard & Poors, has forecast a price drop of about 8 percent for […]

May 29th, 2007

Bernanke Warned by Real Estate Analysts:Housing Collapse Is Much Worse Than You Say


A real estate investment and analysis firm, John Burns Real Estate Consulting, said on May 21 that it is “going public with our concerns” that the national sales information for both new and existing homes, is misleading and covering up a deep plunge of the housing sector. “The housing market has softened much more than […]

May 29th, 2007

Message to Fed:Housing is Falling Much Faster than Reported


The housing market has softened much more than is being reported. We have been advising our retainer clients for more than one year about misleading national sales information, both with the Existing Home Sales and New Home Sales data. We are now going public with our concerns because we are concerned that policy makers are […]

May 29th, 2007

Hips on the rack?


The looming introduction of home information packs (Hips) will no doubt have had many property investors and landlords scratching their chins and wondering whether they would cost more than they could possible save.
While the packs might be a welcome boost for landlords looking to expand their portfolio, those aiming to sell off a few properties […]

May 29th, 2007

New Orleans commercial real estate lessons learned from Katrina


After the killer storm and resulting flood wrecked havoc on New Orleans commercial real estate, many lessons were learned.
For one, most communications were knocked out. Property owners had to contact tradesmen that remained in town via text messaging. Telephone calls on hard lines and via cell phones did not work, but for some reason, a […]

May 29th, 2007

Growing Non Indian Resident Investments in Indian Real Estate


The real estate scenario in India is getting bigger with each passing day and attracting attention from more and more foreign investors. Also, add the foreign exchange glut in the country fuelled to a great extent by Non Resident Indians (NRIs) investing their dollars in the market.
NRI participation in Indian realty has certainly brought greater […]

May 28th, 2007

Gold Price Set To Take Off As US Housing Market Falters


Adrian Ash writes :Buy low, sell high - it sounds simple enough. Yet the strategy eludes most people.
Drowning in newsprint, they like to buy what’s hot instead – like Tech Stocks in late 1999, oil futures in summer 2005, subprime mortgage-backed bonds in 2006, tulip bulbs in Amsterdam, 1624.
Average behavior won’t beat the average, of […]

May 28th, 2007

Skyrocketing real estate prices strain Asian banks


MUMBAI: It’s not just RBI, but International Monetary Fund (IMF) and central banks across Asia too are concerned over the spiralling property prices and the possible impact on the banks’ books.
In its regional economic outlook for Asia-Pacific, IMF has warned that although rising home loans portfolio appears to be manageable, if home loans continue to […]

May 28th, 2007

US Housing Market: Median Prices Will Fall


Dan Denning writes : Just a quick note on the US housing market, mostly as a cautionary tale about the grinding and plodding nature of house price declines. Two things happened in the US market last week worth noting. First, existing home sales fell by 2.6%. Second, median home prices fell for the ninth straight […]

May 28th, 2007

British housing bubble ‘on the verge of bursting’


Britain’s housing market boom is finally on the verge of coming to an end, according to the latest figures.House prices in two-thirds of postcodes in England and Wales registered no increase at all this month or even fell, according to Hometrack, the housing market analyst.
The figures provide fresh evidence that a double whammy of higher […]

May 28th, 2007

The California Housing Report: Details In the Data Show A Broad-based Price Decline


Headline: “C.A.R. [California Association of Realtors] reports sales decrease 27.8 percent in April, median price of a home in California at $597,640, up 6.2 percent from year ago.” Then we also read, “Throughout the state inventory levels have increased to their highest levels in recent years…”
Price increase in the climate of declining sales and rising […]

May 27th, 2007

End of house price boom is in sight


The Times speculates that the UK housing boom is about to come to an end on the back of four interest rate rises, and unaffordability concerns.
However a crash does not seem on the cards, nevertheless some sort of fall is expected.
 Read Article [offsite]

May 26th, 2007

Property bargain-hunters turn to Japan and China


INVESTORS seeking the cheapest property stocks are buying in Japan, Germany and China after a two-year tumble in shares of United States home builders.
Japanese land prices are rising for the first time in 16 years, yet shares of developers trade at less than a third the global average, according to UBS AG.
The start of real-estate […]

May 26th, 2007

Mainstream Press Ignores Housing Sales Fall of 11% Compared to April 2006


The census bureau reports that house sales compared to April of 2006 are DOWN 11%, but the press, desperately cheerleading for their real estate advertisers, ignore this fact and instead concentrate on the slight rebound from the truly dismal month of March 2007.
Here are the US Census sales numbers, in thousands:
Read Article [offsite]

May 26th, 2007

US home sales up as prices slump


Sales of new houses in the US in April rose to a 14-year high, according to the US Commerce Department. The number of new builds sold leapt 16.2%, ahead of forecasts and making an annual rate of 981,000 units.
Read Article [offsite]

May 26th, 2007

Irish housing market fears hangover after 10-year boom


Shrewsbury Road, in the well-heeled southern suburbs of Dublin, typifies the frenzy of the Irish housing market over the last decade.  A house here once sold for EUR55 million  ($74 million) just so the new owner could demolish it and build two new properties in its place, as Ireland’s economy boomed.
Read Article [offsite]

May 26th, 2007

New home prices plunge, sales soar


A big drop in the price of the typical new home sold in April spurred much better-than-expected sales, according to the latest government reading on the battered real estate and home building market released Thursday.New homes sold at an annual pace of 981,000 in April, up 16.2 percent from the revised 844,000 pace in March. […]

May 25th, 2007

Interest Rate Rises Finally Put Brakes on UK Housing Market


Rising interest rates have slammed the brakes on the housing market, according to a raft of figures out today.
House prices grew at their slowest rate for months in April while mortgage lending also cooled, signalling that the market may be on the verge of a correction.
Read Article [offsite]

May 24th, 2007

Bankruptcy Trends: A Perfect Storm of Debt


The TimesFreePress is reporting Boomers look to bankruptcy system for relief.
“People are getting squeezed,” said Mr. Young, [a bankruptcy lawyer] who has practiced in Chattanooga for almost 30 years. “A lot of baby boomers are seeing incredible debt loads. All the sudden you’re just keeping your mouth above water to keep from drowning.”
Competing financial obligations […]

May 22nd, 2007

Existing Home Sales Drop Biggest Since 1989


 ”National Association of Realtors: Sales of existing homes in the U.S. dropped 8.4% in March, their biggest tumble since a 12.6% decrease in January 1989. Economists… were expecting home sales to slip to a 6.45 million unit rate from the 6.69 million unit pace originally reported for February… The inventory of homes for sale fell […]

May 22nd, 2007

Housing Is Tumbling Even Faster Than Reported


Real Estate Consultant John Burns has looked at the housing data and reached a rather interesting conclusion: “The housing market has softened much more than is being reported.”Given all the negative news coverage, that’s almost hard to believe. But John does a good job dissecting the data, and he is now concerned that both the […]